DBRS Takes Rating Actions on VCL 17
AutoDBRS Ratings Limited (“DBRS”) has reviewed the VCL 17 transaction and taken the following rating actions:
-Class A Notes confirmed at AAA (sf)
-Class B Notes upgraded from ‘A’ (high) (sf) to AA (sf)
VCL 17 is a securitisation supported by a portfolio of German lease receivables to retail and commercial customers secured by new, used and demonstration vehicles. The receivables were originated and are serviced by Volkswagen Leasing, GmbH.
The rating actions are based upon the following analytical considerations:
-Portfolio performance of the receivables in terms of arrears and cumulative net losses as of the 24 April 2014 payment date.
-Updated default, recovery and loss assumptions on the remaining receivables balance.
-Current available credit enhancement for each Class of Notes to cover the expected losses at the respective rating level.
The 90+ day arrears ratio for the receivables has been low and stable since the initial rating. The current level is equal to 0.38%. The cumulative net loss ratio is also low and performing below the initial DBRS expectation. The current cumulative net ratio is equal to 0.06% through 13 months. The Class A Notes have reached the target overcollateralization level. As a result, the Class B Notes are receiving principal payments in accordance with the Priority of Payments subject to cumulative net loss triggers.
The Account Bank for the transaction is Bank of New York-Frankfurt Branch. The DBRS private rating of Bank of New York-Frankfurt Branch is above the Minimum Institution Rating given the highest rating assigned to the rated Notes within the transaction as described in the DBRS Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions. Bank of Nova Scotia is the swap counterparty. The DBRS public rating of Bank of Nova Scotia is above the First Rating Threshold as described in the DBRS Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions.
Notes:
All figures are in Euro unless otherwise noted.
The principal methodology applicable is Master European Structured Finance Surveillance Methodology.
Other methodologies and criteria referenced in this transaction are listed at the end of this press release.
This can be found on www.dbrs.com at:
http://www.dbrs.com/about/methodologies
For a more detailed discussion of sovereign risk impact on Structured Finance ratings, please refer to DBRS commentary “The Effect of Sovereign Risk on Securitisations in the Euro Area” on: http://www.dbrs.com/industries/bucket/id/10036/name/commentaries/
The sources of information used for this rating include monthly investor reports provided by Volkswagen Leasing GmbH.
DBRS considers the information available to it for the purposes of providing this rating was of satisfactory quality.
DBRS does not audit the information it receives in connection with the rating process, and it does not and cannot independently verify that information in every instance.
The last rating action on this transaction took place on 25 March 2013 when the Provisional Ratings to the Notes were finalised.
Information regarding DBRS ratings, including definitions, policies and methodologies are available on www.dbrs.com.
To assess the impact of the changing the transaction parameters on the rating, DBRS considered the following stress scenarios, as compared to the parameters used to determine the rating (the “Base Case”):
-DBRS expected a Base Case Probability of Default (PD) and Loss Given Default (LGD) for each pool of receivables based on a review of the transaction performance. Adverse changes to asset performance may cause stresses to base case assumptions and therefore have a negative effect on credit ratings.
-The Base Case PD and LGD of the current pool of receivables are 2.53% and 40%, respectively.
-The Risk Sensitivity overview below illustrates the expected rating of each Class of Notes if the PD and LGD increase by a certain percentage over the Base Case assumption. For example, if the LGD increases by 50%, the ratings for the Class A Notes would be expected to remain at AAA (sf), all else being equal. If the PD increases by 50%, the ratings for the Class A Notes would be expected to remain at AAA (sf), all else being equal. If both the PD and LGD increase by 50%, the ratings for the Class A Notes would be expected to remain at AAA (sf), all else being equal.
Class A Risk Sensitivity:
-25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-25% increase in PD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-50% increase in PD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-25% increase in LGD and 25% increase in PD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-25% increase in LGD and 50% increase in PD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-50% increase in LGD and 25% increase in PD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-50% increase in LGD and 50% increase in PD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
Class B Risk Sensitivity:
-25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-25% increase in PD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-50% increase in PD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-25% increase in LGD and 25% increase in PD, expected rating of AA (high) (sf)
-25% increase in LGD and 50% increase in PD, expected rating of AA (high) (sf)
-50% increase in LGD and 25% increase in PD, expected rating of AA (high) (sf)
-50% increase in LGD and 50% increase in PD, expected rating of AA (low) (sf)
For further information on DBRS historic default rates published by the European Securities and Markets Administration (“ESMA”) in a central repository, see:
http://cerep.esma.europa.eu/cerep-web/statistics/defaults.xhtml.
Ratings assigned by DBRS Ratings Limited are subject to EU regulations only.
Initial Lead Analyst: Alex Garrod
Initial Rating Date: 13 February 2014
Initial Rating Committee Chair: Chuck Weilamann
Lead Surveillance Analyst: Keith Gorman
Rating Committee Chair: Chuck Weilamann
DBRS Ratings Limited
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The rating methodologies and criteria used in the analysis of this transaction can be found at: http://www.dbrs.com/about/methodologies
-Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions.
-Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions.
-Master European Structured Finance Surveillance Methodology.
-Operational Risk Assessment for European Structured Finance Servicers.
-Unified Interest Rate Model for European Securitisations.
-Rating European Consumer and Commercial Asset-Backed Securitisations.