DBRS Downgrades AyT Goya Hipotecario V, FTA Series A and Confirms Series B
RMBSDBRS Ratings Limited (DBRS) has today downgraded AyT Goya Hipotecario V, Fondo de Titulización de Activos’ (the Issuer) Series A to A (high) (sf) from AAA (sf). DBRS has also confirmed the Issuer’s Series B at B (sf).
AyT Goya Hipotecario V, Fondo de Titulización de Activos is a securitisation of a portfolio of residential mortgage loans originated and serviced by Barclays Bank, SA in Spain. The transaction originally closed in December 2011 with Barclays Bank, SA also serving as holder of the Treasury Account and swap counterparty.
The downgrade of Series A is due to the following:
-- A change of ownership of Barclays Bank, SA, which was fully acquired by CaixaBank S.A. (rated A (low)/R-1 (low) with Negative trends by DBRS) on 2015 January 2 and
-- Amendments to the legal documentation executed on 23 January 2015, which include lowering the replacement trigger of the Treasury Account holder, as well as triggers concerning the swap agreement.
The downgrade of Series A and the confirmation of Series B are also based upon the following analytical considerations:
-- Portfolio performance, in terms of defaults and level of delinquencies, as of the 15 September 2014 Payment Date.
-- Updated Portfolio Default Rate, Loss Given Default and Expected Loss for the remaining collateral pool.
-- Current available credit enhancement to Series A and Series B to cover the Expected Losses at the A (high) (sf) and B (sf) rating levels, respectively.
The current 90+ delinquency ratio as a percentage of the performing balance of the portfolio is currently equal to 0.17%.
Cumulative (loans greater than 18 months in arrears) defaults as a percentage of the original balance are currently 0.01%, in line with seasoning of the portfolio.
Credit enhancement to Series A is provided by subordination of Series B and the Reserve Fund. Credit enhancement to Series B is solely provided by the Reserve Fund. Current credit enhancements as a percentage of the performing balance of the portfolio for Series A and Series B are 33.14% and 7.75%, respectively. The Reserve Fund has an amortising target subject to transaction triggers. The current target is 6.00% of the original balance of Series A and Series B (EUR 84 million).
Notes:
All figures are in euros unless otherwise noted.
The principal methodology applicable is the Master European Structured Finance Surveillance Methodology. Other methodologies and criteria referenced in this transaction are listed at the end of this press release.
This can be found on www.dbrs.com at:
http://www.dbrs.com/about/methodologies.
For a more detailed discussion of sovereign risk impact on Structured Finance ratings, please refer to DBRS commentary “The Effect of Sovereign Risk on Securitisations in the Euro Area” on: http://www.dbrs.com/industries/bucket/id/10036/name/commentaries/.
The sources of information used for this rating include investor reports provided by Ahorro y Titulización S.G.F.T., S.A. and data from the European DataWarehouse. DBRS considers the information available to it for the purposes of providing this rating was of satisfactory quality.
DBRS does not audit the information it receives in connection with the rating process, and it does not and cannot independently verify that information in every instance.
The last rating action on this transaction took place on 10 February 2014, when DBRS confirmed the ratings of AAA (sf) on Series A and B (sf) on Series B.
Information regarding DBRS ratings, including definitions, policies and methodologies are available on www.dbrs.com.
To assess the impact of the changing the transaction parameters on the rating, DBRS considered the following stress scenarios, as compared to the parameters used to determine the rating (the Base Case):
• DBRS expected a lifetime base case Probability of Default (PD) and Loss Given Default (LGD) for the pool based on a review of the current receivables. Adverse changes to asset performance may cause stresses to Base Case assumptions and therefore have a negative effect on credit ratings.
•The Base Case PD and LGD of the current pool of mortgages for the Issuer are 5.01% and 18.78%, respectively. The corresponding levels at the A (high) (sf) rating level are 18.31% and 32.61%.
• The Risk Sensitivity overview below illustrates the ratings expected if the PD and LGD increase by a certain percentage over the Base Case assumption. For example, if the LGD increases by 50%, the rating of Series A would be expected to fall to BBB (high) (sf), assuming no change in the PD. If the PD increases by 50%, the rating for Series A would be expected to fall to BBB (sf), assuming no change in the LGD. Furthermore, if both PD and LGD increase by 50%, the rating would be expected to decrease to BBB (low) (sf).
Series A Risk Sensitivity:
• 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of A (low) (sf)
• 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of BBB (high) (sf)
• 25% increase in PD, expected rating of BBB (high) (sf)
• 50% increase in PD, expected rating of BBB (sf)
• 25% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of BBB (sf)
• 25% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of BBB (sf)
• 50% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of BBB (low) (sf)
• 50% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of BBB (low) (sf)
Series B Risk Sensitivity:
• 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of B (sf)
• 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of B (sf)
• 25% increase in PD, expected rating of B (sf)
• 50% increase in PD, expected rating of B (sf)
• 25% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of B (sf)
• 25% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of B (sf)
• 50% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of B (sf)
• 50% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of B (sf)
For further information on DBRS historic default rates published by the European Securities and Markets Administration in a central repository, see:
http://cerep.esma.europa.eu/cerep-web/statistics/defaults.xhtml.
Ratings assigned by DBRS Ratings Limited are subject to EU regulations only.
Initial Lead Analyst: David Sanchez
Initial Rating Date: 27 December 2011
Initial Rating Committee Chair: Claire Mezzanotte
Last Rating Date: 10 February 2014
Lead Surveillance Analyst: Vito Natale
Rating Committee Chair: Mary Jane Potthoff
DBRS Ratings Limited
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London
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United Kingdom
Registered in England and Wales: No. 7139960
The rating methodologies and criteria used in the analysis of this transaction can be found at http://www.dbrs.com/about/methodologies
• Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions
• Master European Structured Finance Surveillance Methodology
• Operational Risk Assessment for European Structured Finance Servicers
• Master European Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Rating Methodology and Jurisdictional Addenda
• Unified Interest Rate Model for European Securitisations
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