DBRS Morningstar Finalises Provisional Ratings on VCL Multi-Compartment S.A., acting for and on behalf of its Compartment VCL 33
AutoDBRS Ratings GmbH (DBRS Morningstar) finalised its provisional ratings on the Class A Notes and Class B Notes (together, the Notes) issued by VCL Multi-Compartment S.A., acting for and on behalf of its Compartment VCL 33 (the Issuer) as follows:
-- Class A Notes at AAA (sf)
-- Class B Notes at AA (low) (sf)
The ratings on the Notes address the timely payment of scheduled interest and ultimate repayment of principal by the legal final maturity date in April 2027, in accordance with the terms of the Notes.
The transaction represents the issuance of floating-rate Notes backed by a static portfolio of approximately EUR 1 billion of auto lease receivables (excluding residual value claims relating to the final balloon instalment) granted by Volkswagen Leasing GmbH (VWL) to retail (82.5% of the discounted portfolio balance) and commercial (17.5%) customers residing in the Federal Republic of Germany (Germany). The receivables are serviced by VWL.
DBRS Morningstar based its ratings on a review of the following analytical considerations:
-- The transaction's capital structure, including form and sufficiency of available credit enhancement;
-- Relevant credit enhancement in the form of subordination and the availability of the cash reserve;
-- Credit enhancement levels are sufficient to support DBRS Morningstar’s projected cumulative net losses under various stressed cash flow assumptions for the Notes;
-- The ability of the transaction to withstand stressed cash flow assumptions and repay investors according to the terms under which they have invested;
--VWL’s financial strength and its capabilities with respect to origination, underwriting, servicing, and financial strength;
-- The credit quality of the collateral and historical and projected performance of the portfolio;
-- The sovereign rating on Germany, currently rated AAA with a Stable trend; and
-- The consistency of the transaction’s legal structure with DBRS Morningstar’s “Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions” methodology and the presence of legal opinions that address the true sale of the assets to the Issuer.
TRANSACTION STRUCTURE
The transaction represents the securitisation of monthly instalments related to automotive lease contracts, excluding the associated residual values. As such, the Issuer is not exposed to residual value risk. All underlying contracts are fixed rate (subject to a discount rate of 5.70%) while floating-rate notes have been issued. Interest rate risk is mitigated through an interest rate swap.
The transaction has a mixed sequential/pro rata amortisation structure. Initially, all collections from the lease receivables will pay down the Class A Notes (in accordance with the relevant priority of payments). Once the Class A overcollateralisation (OC) percentage reaches 12.25%, the Class B Notes will begin to amortise. Once the Class B OC percentage reaches 7.5%, principal payments on the Notes will be allocated on a pro rata basis, unless specified performance triggers are breached as outlined in the transaction documents.
The transaction benefits from liquidity support provided by a cash reserve, funded initially to EUR 12.0 million (equal to 1.2% of the initial outstanding discounted receivables balance). The reserve is available to cover the payment of senior expenses, swap payments, and interest on the Notes prior to being restored to its target amount equal to 1.2% of the outstanding discounted receivables balance, subject to a floor of 1.0% of the initial discounted receivables balance.
TRANSACTION COUNTERPARTIES
The Bank of New York Mellon - Frankfurt Branch (BNYM Frankfurt) acts as the account bank for the transaction. Based on the DBRS Morningstar private rating on BNYM Frankfurt, the downgrade provisions outlined in the transaction documents, and other mitigating factors inherent in the transaction structure, DBRS Morningstar considers the risk arising from the exposure to the account bank to be consistent with the ratings assigned to the notes, as described in DBRS Morningstar's "Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions" methodology.
Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (SEB) acts as the swap counterparty for the transaction, with a current public rating of A (high) and a Stable trend by DBRS Morningstar. The rating on the swap counterparty is consistent with the First Rating Threshold as described in DBRS Morningstar’s “Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions” methodology. The collateral posting provisions and the replacement provisions as defined in the draft swap agreements are consistent with the thresholds defined in DBRS Morningstar’s “Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions” methodology.
CORONAVIRUS CONSIDERATIONS
The Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) and the resulting isolation measures have caused an economic contraction, leading to sharp increases in unemployment rates and income reductions for many borrowers. DBRS Morningstar anticipates that delinquencies may continue to increase in the coming months for many ABS transactions, some meaningfully. The ratings are based on additional analysis and adjustments to expected performance as a result of the global efforts to contain the spread of the coronavirus. For this transaction, DBRS Morningstar applied a moderate haircut to its expected recovery rate.
On 16 April 2020, the DBRS Morningstar Sovereign group released a set of macroeconomic scenarios for the 2020–22 period in select economies. These scenarios were last updated on 18 June 2021. For details, see the following commentaries: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/380281/global-macroeconomic-scenarios-june-2021-update and https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/359903/global-macroeconomic-scenarios-application-to-credit-ratings. The DBRS Morningstar analysis considered impacts consistent with the moderate scenario in the referenced reports.
On 8 May 2020, DBRS Morningstar published a commentary outlining how the coronavirus crisis is likely to affect DBRS Morningstar-rated ABS transactions in Europe. For more details, please see: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/360734/european-abs-transactions-risk-exposure-to-coronavirus-covid-19-effect and https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/362712/european-structured-finance-covid-19-credit-risk-exposure-roadmap.
For more information regarding rating methodologies and Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19), please see the following DBRS Morningstar press release: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/357883.
For more information regarding the structured finance rating approach and Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19), please see the following DBRS Morningstar press release: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/359905.
For more information regarding structured finance rating methodologies and Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19), please see the following DBRS Morningstar press release: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/358308.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
A description of how DBRS Morningstar considers ESG factors within the DBRS Morningstar analytical framework can be found in the DBRS Morningstar Criteria: Approach to Environmental, Social, and Governance Risk Factors in Credit Ratings at https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/373262.
The transaction structure was analysed in Intex DealMaker.
Notes:
All figures are in euros unless otherwise noted.
The principal methodology applicable to the ratings is: Rating European Consumer and Commercial Asset-Backed Securitisations (3 September 2020).
Other methodologies referenced in this transaction are listed at the end of this press release. These may be found at: http://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/about/methodologies.
DBRS Morningstar has applied the principal methodology consistently and conducted a review of the transaction in accordance with the principal methodology.
For a more detailed discussion of the sovereign risk impact on Structured Finance ratings, please refer to “Appendix C: The Impact of Sovereign Ratings on Other DBRS Morningstar Credit Ratings” of the “Global Methodology for Rating Sovereign Governments” at: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/364527/global-methodology-for-rating-sovereign-governments.
The sources of data and information used for these ratings include VWL and UniCredit Bank AG (the Arranger).
DBRS Morningstar received the following data from VWL:
-- Static cumulative net loss data from January 2011 to December 2020 on a total portfolio basis;
-- Total portfolio-level dynamic delinquency data from January 2011 to December 2020;
-- Summarised stratification tables for the provisional pool as at March 2021; and
-- The portfolio amortisation profile related to the selected pool.
DBRS Morningstar did not rely upon third-party due diligence in order to conduct its analysis.
DBRS Morningstar was not supplied with third-party assessments. However, this did not impact the rating analysis.
DBRS Morningstar considers the data and information available to it for the purposes of providing these ratings to be of satisfactory quality.
DBRS Morningstar does not audit or independently verify the data or information it receives in connection with the rating process.
These ratings concern newly issued financial instruments. These are the first DBRS Morningstar ratings on these financial instruments.
This is the first rating action since the Initial Rating Date.
Information regarding DBRS Morningstar ratings, including definitions, policies, and methodologies, is available on www.dbrsmorningstar.com.
To assess the impact of changing the transaction parameters on the rating, DBRS Morningstar considered the following stress scenarios as compared with the parameters used to determine the ratings:
-- Expected default rate: 1.4%
-- Expected recovery rate: 60.0%
-- Loss given default (LGD): 64.6% for the AAA (sf) scenario and 59.8% for the AA (low) (sf) scenario.
Scenario 1: 25% increase in LGD
Scenario 2: 50% increase in LGD
Scenario 3: 25% increase in PD
Scenario 4: 50% increase in PD
Scenario 5: 25% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD
Scenario 6: 25% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD
Scenario 7: 50% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD
Scenario 8: 50% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD
DBRS Morningstar concludes that the expected ratings under the eight stress scenarios would be, respectively:
-- Class A Notes: AAA (sf), AA (high) (sf), AAA (sf), AA (high) (sf), AA (sf), AA (sf), AA (sf), and A (high) (sf)
-- Class B Notes: AA (low) (sf), A (high) (sf), AA (low) (sf), A (sf), A (sf), A (low) (sf), A (low) (sf), and BBB (sf)
For further information on DBRS Morningstar historical default rates published by the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) in a central repository, see: http://cerep.esma.europa.eu/cerep-web/statistics/defaults.xhtml. DBRS Morningstar understands further information on DBRS Morningstar historical default rates may be published by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) on its webpage: https://www.fca.org.uk/firms/credit-rating-agencies.
These ratings are endorsed by DBRS Ratings Limited for use in the United Kingdom.
Lead Analyst: Stephan Rompf, Assistant Vice President
Rating Committee Chair: Christian Aufsatz, Managing Director
Initial Rating Date: 5 May 2021
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The rating methodologies used in the analysis of this transaction can be found at: http://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/about/methodologies.
-- Rating European Consumer and Commercial Asset-Backed Securitisations (3 September 2020), https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/366294/rating-european-consumer-and-commercial-asset-backed-securitisations.
-- Rating European Structured Finance Transactions Methodology (21 July 2020), https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/364305/rating-european-structured-finance-transactions-methodology.
-- Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions (6 April 2021), https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/376314/legal-criteria-for-european-structured-finance-transactions.
-- Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions (24 September 2020), https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/367092/derivative-criteria-for-european-structured-finance-transactions.
-- Operational Risk Assessment for European Structured Finance Originators (30 September 2020), https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/367603/operational-risk-assessment-for-european-structured-finance- originators.
-- Operational Risk Assessment for European Structured Finance Servicers (19 November 2020), https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/370270/operational-risk-assessment-for-european-structured-finance-servicers.
-- Interest Rate Stresses for European Structured Finance Transactions (28 September 2020), https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/367292/interest-rate-stresses-for-european-structured-finance-transactions.
-- DBRS Morningstar Criteria: Approach to Environmental, Social, and Governance Risk Factors in Credit Ratings (3 February 2021), https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/373262/dbrs-morningstar-criteria-approach-to-environmental-social-and-governance-risk-factors-in-credit-ratings.
A description of how DBRS Morningstar analyses structured finance transactions and how the methodologies are collectively applied can be found at: http://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/278375.
For more information on this credit or on this industry, visit www.dbrsmorningstar.com or contact us at [email protected].
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