DBRS Morningstar Assigns Provisional Ratings to Sunrise SPV 50 S.r.l. - Sunrise 2023-2

DBRS Ratings GmbH (DBRS Morningstar) assigned provisional ratings to the following classes of notes (collectively, the Rated Notes) to be issued by Sunrise SPV 50 S.r.l. - Sunrise 2023-2 (the Issuer):

-- Class A1 Notes at AA (sf)
-- Class A2 Notes at AA (sf)
-- Class B Notes at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C Notes at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D Notes at BBB (sf)
-- Class E Notes at BBB (low) (sf)

DBRS Morningstar did not rate the Class M Notes (together with the Rated Notes, the Notes) also expected to be issued in the transaction.

The ratings of the Class A1, Class A2 (collectively, the Class A Notes), and Class B Notes address the timely payment of scheduled interest and the ultimate repayment of principal on or before the legal final maturity date. The ratings of the Class C, Class D, and Class E Notes address the ultimate payment of interest but the timely payment of scheduled interest when they become the senior-most tranche and the ultimate repayment of principal on or before the legal final maturity date.

The provisional ratings are based on information provided to DBRS Morningstar by the Issuer and its agents as of the date of this press release. The ratings can be finalised upon a review of final information, data, legal opinions, and executed versions of the governing transaction documents. To the extent that the documents and the information provided to DBRS Morningstar as of this date differ from the final information, DBRS Morningstar may assign different final ratings to the Rated Notes.

The transaction is a securitisation of fixed-rate consumer, auto, and other-purpose loans granted by Agos Ducato S.p.A. (the originator and servicer) to private individuals residing in Italy.

DBRS Morningstar based its ratings on the following analytical considerations:
-- The transaction capital structure, including form and sufficiency of available credit enhancement.
-- Credit enhancement levels that are sufficient to support DBRS Morningstar’s projected expected net losses under various stress scenarios.
-- The ability of the transaction to withstand stressed cash flow assumptions and repay investors.
-- The originator’s financial strength and capabilities with respect to originations, underwriting, and servicing.
-- DBRS Morningstar’s operational risk review of the originator, which is deemed to be an acceptable servicer.
-- The transaction parties’ financial strength with regard to their respective roles.
-- The credit quality, diversification of the collateral, and historical and projected performance of the originator’s portfolio.
-- DBRS Morningstar’s sovereign rating on the Republic of Italy, currently at BBB (high) with a Stable trend.
-- The consistency of the transaction’s legal structure with DBRS Morningstar’s “Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions” methodology.

TRANSACTION STRUCTURE
The transaction includes a 12-month scheduled revolving period. During the revolving period, the originator may offer additional receivables that the Issuer will purchase, provided that the eligibility criteria and concentration limits set out in the transaction documents are satisfied. The revolving period may end earlier than scheduled if certain events occur such as the originator’s insolvency, the servicer’s replacement, or the breach of performance triggers.

The transaction allocates collections in separate interest and principal priorities of payments and benefits from a non-amortising EUR [•] payment interruption risk reserve and a cash reserve starting at EUR [•] at closing. The cash reserve would be replenished in the transaction interest waterfalls to the target amount of 2.5% of non-defaulted loan balances during the revolving period and will amortise to the target amount during the redemption period, subject to a floor of EUR [•]. Both reserves will be initially funded with the proceeds of the Class M Notes and can be used to cover senior expenses and interest payments on the Rated Notes. The cash reserve can also be used to replenish the payment interruption risk reserve and offset defaulted receivables. Principal funds can also be reallocated to cover senior expenses and interest payments on the Rated Notes if the interest collections and both reserves are not sufficient.

The transaction also benefits from a non-amortising rata posticipata reserve to supplement interest amounts that borrowers do not make during payment holidays. This reserve will be funded through the transaction interest waterfalls if specific thresholds are breached and will be released when the threshold breach is cured.

At the end of the revolving period, the Notes will be repaid on a fully sequential basis.

The interest rate risk for the transaction is considered limited as an interest rate swap is in place to reduce the mismatch between the fixed-rate collateral and the Class A Notes.

COUNTERPARTIES
Crédit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank (CA-CIB) is the account bank for the transaction. Based on DBRS Morningstar’s private rating on CA-CIB, the downgrade provisions outlined in the transaction documents, and other mitigating factors inherent in the transaction structure, DBRS Morningstar considers the risk arising from the exposure to the account bank to be consistent with the ratings assigned.

CA-CIB is the initial swap counterparty for the transaction. DBRS Morningstar’s private rating on CA-CIB meets the criteria to act in such capacity. The transaction documents contain downgrade provisions consistent with DBRS Morningstar’s “Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions” methodology.

PORTFOLIO ASSUMPTIONS AND KEY DRIVERS
As the originator has a long operating history of consumer and auto loan lending in Italy, DBRS Morningstar considers the performance data to be meaningful for detailed vintage analysis. DBRS Morningstar elected to revise its assumption of a lifetime expected gross default to 5.00% from 5.20% reflecting the long and improving historical data and the potential portfolio migration during the revolving period. DBRS Morningstar also revised its expected recovery to 10.8% from 10.5%.

DBRS Morningstar’s credit ratings on the Rated Notes address the credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated financial obligations for each of the Rated Notes are the related Interest Amounts and the Initial Principal Amount Outstanding.

DBRS Morningstar’s credit ratings do not address non-payment risk associated with contractual payment obligations contemplated in the applicable transaction document(s) that are not financial obligations.

DBRS Morningstar’s long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk of default. DBRS Morningstar considers risk of default to be the risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has been issued.

ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL, GOVERNANCE CONSIDERATIONS
There were no Environmental/Social/Governance factors that had a significant or relevant effect on the credit analysis.

A description of how DBRS Morningstar considers ESG factors within the DBRS Morningstar analytical framework can be found in the DBRS Morningstar Criteria: Approach to Environmental, Social, and Governance Risk Factors in Credit Ratings at: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/416784/dbrs-morningstar-criteria-approach-to-environmental-social-and-governance-risk-factors-in-credit-ratings.

DBRS Morningstar analysed the transaction structure in Intex DealMaker.

Notes:
All figures are in euros unless otherwise noted.

The principal methodology applicable to the credit ratings is “Rating European Consumer and Commercial Asset-Backed Securitisations” (19 October 2022), https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/404212/rating-european-consumer-and-commercial-asset-backed-securitisations.

Other methodologies referenced in this transaction are listed at the end of this press release.

DBRS Morningstar has applied the principal methodology consistently and conducted a review of the transaction in accordance with the principal methodology.

An asset and a cash flow analysis were both conducted. Due to the inclusion of a revolving period in the transaction, the analysis considers potential portfolio migration based on the replenishment criteria set forth in the transaction legal documents.

For a more detailed discussion of the sovereign risk impact on Structured Finance ratings, please refer to “Appendix C: The Impact of Sovereign Ratings on Other DBRS Morningstar Credit Ratings” of the “Global Methodology for Rating Sovereign Governments” at: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/401817/global-methodology-for-rating-sovereign-governments.

The DBRS Morningstar Sovereign group releases baseline macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereigns. DBRS Morningstar analysis considered impacts consistent with the baseline scenarios as set forth in the following report: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/384482/baseline-macroeconomic-scenarios-application-to-credit-ratings.

The sources of data and information used for these credit ratings include performance data relating to the receivables that the originator provided through the arrangers, Banca Akros SpA and CA-CIB.

DBRS Morningstar received quarterly static default data from Q1 2012 to Q2 2023, quarterly static recovery data from Q1 2012 to Q2 2023, monthly dynamic arrears and default data from June 2008 to June 2023, and static prepayment rates by annual vintages from 2003 to 2023. DBRS Morningstar also received a set of stratification tables for the loan pool as of 30 June 2023 and its related contractual amortisation profile.

DBRS Morningstar did not rely upon third-party due diligence in order to conduct its analysis.

DBRS Morningstar was not supplied with third-party assessments. However, this did not impact the credit rating analysis.

DBRS Morningstar considers the data and information available to it for the purposes of providing these credit ratings to be of satisfactory quality.

DBRS Morningstar does not audit or independently verify the data or information it receives in connection with the credit rating process.

These credit ratings concern expected-to-be-issued new financial instruments. These are the first DBRS Morningstar credit ratings on these financial instruments.

Information regarding DBRS Morningstar credit ratings, including definitions, policies, and methodologies, is available on www.dbrsmorningstar.com.

Sensitivity Analysis: To assess the impact of changing the transaction parameters on the credit ratings, DBRS Morningstar considered the following stress scenarios as compared with the parameters used to determine the credit ratings:

-- Expected default of 5.00%: a 25% and 50% increase in the expected default.
-- Loss given default (LGD) of 89.2%: a 25% increase in the expected LGD.

Scenario 1: A 25% increase in the expected default.
Scenario 2: A 50% increase in the expected default.
Scenario 3: A 25% increase in the expected LGD.
Scenario 4: A 25% increase in the expected default and 25% increase in the expected LGD.
Scenario 5: A 50% increase in the expected default and 25% increase in the expected LGD.

DBRS Morningstar concludes that the expected ratings under the five stress scenarios are:
-- Class A Notes: AA (low) (sf), A (high) (sf), AA (sf), AA (low) (sf), A (sf)
-- Class B Notes: A (sf), A (low) (sf), A (high) (sf), A (sf), BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class C Notes: BBB (high) (sf), BBB (high) (sf), A (low) (sf), BBB (high) (sf), BBB (sf)
-- Class D Notes: BBB (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BBB (sf), BBB (sf), BB (high) sf)
-- Class E Notes: BB (high) (sf), BB (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (high) (sf), B (high) (sf)

For further information on DBRS Morningstar historical default rates published by the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) in a central repository, see: https://registers.esma.europa.eu/cerep-publication. For further information on DBRS Morningstar historical default rates may be published by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in a central repository: https://data.fca.org.uk/#/ceres/craStats.

These credit ratings are endorsed by DBRS Ratings Limited for use in the United Kingdom.

Lead Analyst: Kevin Chiang, Senior Vice President
Rating Committee Chair: David Lautier, Senior Vice President
Initial Rating Date: 5 September 2023

DBRS Ratings GmbH
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60311 Frankfurt am Main Deutschland
Tel. +49 (69) 8088 3500
Geschäftsführer: Detlef Scholz
Amtsgericht Frankfurt am Main, HRB 110259

The credit rating methodologies used in the analysis of this transaction can be found at: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/about/methodologies.

-- Rating European Consumer and Commercial Asset-Backed Securitisations (19 October 2022), https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/404212/rating-european-consumer-and-commercialasset-backed-securitisations.
-- Rating European Structured Finance Transactions Methodology (15 July 2022), https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/399899/rating-european-structured-finance-transactions-methodology.
-- Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions (30 June 2023), https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/416730/legal-criteria-for-european-structured-finance-transactions.
-- Operational Risk Assessment for European Structured Finance Servicers (15 September 2022), https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/402774/operational-risk-assessment-for-europeanstructured-finance-servicers.
-- Operational Risk Assessment for European Structured Finance Originators (15 September 2022), https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/402773/operational-risk-assessment-for-europeanstructured-finance-originators.
-- Interest Rate Stresses for European Structured Finance Transactions (22 September 2022),
https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/402943/interest-rate-stresses-for-european-structured-finance-transactions.
-- Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions (16 June 2023),
https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/415976/derivative-criteria-for-european-structured-finance-transactions.
-- DBRS Morningstar Criteria: Approach to Environmental, Social, and Governance Risk Factors in Credit Ratings (4 July 2023),
https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/416784/dbrs-morningstar-criteria-approach-to-environmental-social-and-governance-risk-factors-in-credit-ratings.

A description of how DBRS Morningstar analyses structured finance transactions and how the methodologies are collectively applied can be found at: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/278375.

For more information on this credit or on this industry, visit www.dbrsmorningstar.com or contact us at [email protected].