Morningstar DBRS Confirms Credit Rating on Wilmington Cards 2021-1 Plc

DBRS Ratings Limited (Morningstar DBRS) confirmed its AAA (sf) credit rating on the Class A Notes issued by Wilmington Cards 2021-1 Plc (the Issuer).

The credit rating on the Class A Notes addresses the timely payment of interest and the ultimate repayment of principal on or before the legal final maturity date in March 2030.

CREDIT RATING RATIONALE

The confirmation follows an annual review of the transaction and is based on the following analytical considerations:
-- Portfolio performance, in terms of delinquencies, charge-offs, principal payment rates, and yield rates, as of the January 2024 payment date.
-- Current available credit enhancement to the Class A Notes to cover the expected losses at the AAA (sf) credit rating level.
-- No revolving termination events have occurred.

The transaction is a securitisation of credit card receivables, which were originated by MBNA Limited and acquired in June 2017 by Lloyds Banking. The transaction is currently in its revolving period, where the scheduled redemption date for the Class A Notes is in March 2026.

PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE
As of the January 2024 payment date, the reported figures from the investor report are as follows: the monthly principal payment rate (MPPR) was 13.8%, averaging 14.3% since closing; the default rate was 2.5%, averaging 2.3% since closing; and the yield rate was 11.7%, averaging 8.9% since closing.

As of the January 2024 payment date, receivables two to three months in arrears represented 0.4% of the outstanding portfolio balance, while receivables more than three months in arrears represented 0.9% of the outstanding portfolio balance.

PORTFOLIO ASSUMPTIONS AND KEY DRIVERS
Based on the trend of recent performance data, Morningstar DBRS increased the expected MPPR to 9.5% from 9.0%, and reduced the expected charge-off rate to 5.0% from 5.5%, whilst maintaining the expected yield assumption at 8.5%.

CREDIT ENHANCEMENT AND RESERVES
As of the January 2024 payment date, credit enhancement to the Class A Notes was 23.0%, stable since the Morningstar DBRS initial credit rating because of the transaction revolving period. Credit enhancement is provided by the subordination of the unrated Class D Notes.

The transaction benefits from a liquidity reserve that is available to cover senior fees and Class A Notes interest. The target level of the reserve is 1% of the outstanding balance of the Class A Notes (currently at GBP 33,500,000) and is subject to a floor of GBP 250,000.

Bank of Scotland plc (Bank of Scotland) is the issuer account bank for the transaction. Based on the Morningstar DBRS Long-Term Issuer Rating of the Bank of Scotland at AA (low), the downgrade provisions outlined in the transaction documents, and other mitigating factors inherent in the transaction structure, Morningstar DBRS considers the risk arising from the exposure to the account bank to be consistent with the credit rating assigned to the Class A Notes, as described in Morningstar DBRS’ "Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions" methodology.

Morningstar DBRS’ credit rating on the Class A Notes addresses the credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.

Morningstar DBRS’ credit rating does not address nonpayment risk associated with contractual payment obligations contemplated in the applicable transaction documents that are not financial obligations.

Morningstar DBRS’ long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has been issued.

ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL, AND GOVERNANCE CONSIDERATIONS
There were no Environmental/Social/Governance factors that had a significant or relevant effect on the credit analysis.

A description of how Morningstar DBRS considers ESG factors within the Morningstar DBRS analytical framework can be found in the Morningstar DBRS Criteria: Approach to Environmental, Social, and Governance Risk Factors in Credit Ratings at https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/427030.

Morningstar DBRS analysed the transaction structure in Intex DealMaker.

Notes:
All figures are in British pound sterling unless otherwise noted.

The principal methodology applicable to the credit rating is: “Master European Structured Finance Surveillance Methodology” (11 December 2023), https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/425148.

Other methodologies referenced in this transaction are listed at the end of this press release.

Morningstar DBRS has applied the principal methodology consistently and conducted a review of the transaction in accordance with the principal methodology.

An asset and a cash flow analysis were both conducted. Due to the inclusion of a revolving period in the transaction, the analysis continues to consider potential portfolio migration based on replenishment criteria set forth in the transaction legal documents.

A review of the transaction legal documents was not conducted as the legal documents have remained unchanged since the most recent credit rating action.

For a more detailed discussion of the sovereign risk impact on Structured Finance credit ratings, please refer to “Appendix C: The Impact of Sovereign Ratings on Other Morningstar DBRS Credit Ratings” of the “Global Methodology for Rating Sovereign Governments” at: https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/421590.

The sources of data and information used for this credit rating include investor reports from Lloyds Bank.

Morningstar DBRS did not rely upon third-party due diligence in order to conduct its analysis.

At the time of the initial credit rating, Morningstar DBRS was supplied with third-party assessments. However, this did not affect the credit rating analysis.

Morningstar DBRS considers the data and information available to it for the purposes of providing this credit rating to be of satisfactory quality.

Morningstar DBRS does not audit or independently verify the data or information it receives in connection with the credit rating process.

The last credit rating action on this transaction took place on 10 March 2023, when Morningstar DBRS confirmed its AAA (sf) credit rating on the Class A Notes.

Information regarding Morningstar DBRS credit ratings, including definitions, policies, and methodologies, is available on dbrs.morningstar.com.

Sensitivity Analysis: To assess the impact of changing the transaction parameters on the credit rating, Morningstar DBRS considered the following stress scenarios as compared with the parameters used to determine the credit rating:

-- Expected MPPR: 9.5%
-- Expected Yield Rate: 8.5%
-- Expected Charge-Off Rate: 5.0%

-- Scenario 1: 25% decrease in MPPR
-- Scenario 2: 25% decrease in yield
-- Scenario 3: 25% increase in charge-off rate
-- Scenario 4: 15% decrease in yield, 15% decrease in MPPR, and 15% increase in charge-off rate

Morningstar DBRS concludes that the expected credit ratings of the Class A Notes under the four stress scenarios will be AA (sf), AAA (sf), AA (high) (sf), and AA (sf), respectively.

For further information on Morningstar DBRS historical default rates published by the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) in a central repository, see: https://registers.esma.europa.eu/cerep-publication. For further information on Morningstar DBRS historical default rates published by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in a central repository, see https://data.fca.org.uk/#/ceres/craStats.

This credit rating is endorsed by DBRS Ratings GmbH for use in the European Union.

Lead Analyst: Jeffrey Cespon, Assistant Vice President
Rating Committee Chair: Alfonso Candelas, Senior Vice President
Initial Rating Date: 12 March 2021

DBRS Ratings Limited
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The credit rating methodologies used in the analysis of this transaction can be found at: https://dbrs.morningstar.com/about/methodologies.

-- Master European Structured Finance Surveillance Methodology (11 December 2023),
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/425148.
-- Rating European Consumer and Commercial Asset-Backed Securitisations (8 January 2024),
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/426219.
-- Rating European Structured Finance Transactions Methodology (11 December 2023),
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/425149.
-- Interest Rate Stresses for European Structured Finance Transactions (15 September 2023),
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/420602.
-- Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions (30 June 2023),
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/416730.
-- Operational Risk Assessment for European Structured Finance Servicers (15 September 2023),
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/420572.
-- Operational Risk Assessment for European Structured Finance Originators (15 September 2023),
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/420573.
-- Morningstar DBRS Criteria: Approach to Environmental, Social, and Governance Risk Factors in Credit Ratings (23 January 2024),
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/427030.

A description of how Morningstar DBRS analyses structured finance transactions and how the methodologies are collectively applied can be found at: https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/278375.

For more information on this credit or on this industry, visit dbrs.morningstar.com or contact us at info-DBRS@morningstar.com.