Morningstar DBRS Upgrades and Confirms Credit Ratings on RevoCar 2022 UG (haftungsbeschränkt)
AutoDBRS Ratings GmbH (Morningstar DBRS) took the following credit rating actions on the notes (the rated notes) issued by RevoCar 2022 UG (haftungsbeschränkt) (the Issuer):
-- Class A Notes confirmed at AAA (sf)
-- Class B Notes upgraded to AA (sf) from A (high) (sf)
-- Class C Notes upgraded to A (high) (sf) from A (low) (sf)
-- Class D Notes upgraded to BBB (sf) BB (high) (sf)
The credit rating on the Class A Notes addresses the timely payment of interest and the ultimate payment of principal on or before the legal final maturity date in August 2035. The credit rating on the Class B Notes addresses the ultimate payment of interest (timely when most senior) and ultimate payment of principal by the final maturity date. The credit ratings on the Class C, and Class D Notes address the ultimate payment of interest and principal on or before the legal final maturity date.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
The credit rating actions follow an annual review of the transaction and are based on the following analytical considerations:
-- Portfolio performance, in terms of delinquencies, defaults, and losses, as of the August 2024 payment date;
-- Updated probability of default (PD), loss given default (LGD), and expected loss assumptions on the remaining receivables; and
-- Current available credit enhancement to the rated notes to cover the expected losses at their respective credit rating levels.
The transaction is a static securitisation of German auto loan receivables originated and serviced by Bank11 für Privatkunden und Handel GmbH (Bank11) and granted primarily to private clients for the purchase of both new and used vehicles. The transaction closed in September 2022 with an initial portfolio balance of EUR 500.0 million.
PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE
As of the July 2024 cut-off date, loans that were one to two months and two to three months in arrears represented 1.0% and 0.1% of the outstanding portfolio balance, respectively, while loans that were more than three months in arrears represented 0.8%. Gross cumulative defaults amounted to 0.8% of the aggregate initial collateral balance, with cumulative recoveries of 43.5% to date.
PORTFOLIO ASSUMPTIONS AND KEY DRIVERS
Morningstar DBRS conducted a loan-by-loan analysis of the remaining pool of receivables and maintained its base case PD and LGD assumptions at 1.8% and 54.7%, respectively.
CREDIT ENHANCEMENT
The subordination of the respective junior obligations provides credit enhancement to the rated notes in the transaction.
As of the August 2024 payment date, credit enhancement to the Class A, Class B, Class C, and Class D Notes increased to 17.7%, 9.9%, 8.0%, and 5.6%, respectively, from 12.4%, 6.9%, 5.6%, and 3.9%, respectively, as of the August 2023 payment date.
The transaction benefits from an amortising liquidity reserve, available to cover senior fees and expenses, swap payments, and interest payments on the Class A Notes only. The reserve has a target balance equal to 0.9% of the outstanding collateral balance, subject to a floor of EUR 1.0 million. As of the August 2024 payment date, the reserve was at its target balance of EUR 2.4 million.
The transaction also features a commingling reserve, funded by Bank11 at closing to EUR 1.2 million. The reserve has a target balance equal to 15.0% of the scheduled collections amount for the next collection period minus the commingling reserve reduction amount. As of the August 2024 payment date, the balance of the commingling reserve account was zero.
BNP Paribas S.A., Niederlassung Frankfurt am Main (BNPP Frankfurt) acts as the account bank for the transaction. Based on Morningstar DBRS' private credit rating on BNPP Frankfurt, the downgrade provisions outlined in the transaction documents, and structural mitigants inherent in the transaction structure, Morningstar DBRS considers the risk arising from the exposure to the account bank to be consistent with the credit ratings assigned to the notes, as described in Morningstar DBRS' "Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions" methodology.
UniCredit Bank GmbH (UniCredit) acts as the swap counterparty. Morningstar DBRS' private credit rating on UniCredit is consistent with the First Rating Threshold as described in Morningstar DBRS' "Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions" methodology.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address the credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents. Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can be found in the transactions' respective press releases at issuance.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has been issued.
ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL, AND GOVERNANCE CONSIDERATIONS
There were no Environmental/Social/Governance factors that had a significant or relevant effect on the credit analysis.
A description of how Morningstar DBRS considers ESG factors within the Morningstar DBRS analytical framework can be found in the "Morningstar DBRS Criteria: Approach to Environmental, Social, and Governance Factors in Credit Ratings" at: https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/437781.
Morningstar DBRS analysed the transaction structure in Intex DealMaker.
Notes:
All figures are in euros unless otherwise noted.
The principal methodology applicable to the credit ratings is the: "Master European Structured Finance Surveillance Methodology (6 August 2024), https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/437540.
Other methodologies referenced in this transaction are listed at the end of this press release.
Morningstar DBRS has applied the principal methodology consistently and conducted a review of the transaction in accordance with the principal methodology.
A review of the transaction legal documents was not conducted as the legal documents have remained unchanged since the most recent credit rating action.
For a more detailed discussion of the sovereign risk impact on Structured Finance credit ratings, please refer to "Appendix C: The Impact of Sovereign Credit Ratings on Other Morningstar DBRS Credit Ratings" of the "Global Methodology for Rating Sovereign Governments" at: https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/436000.
The sources of data and information used for these credit ratings include investor reports and additional information provided by Bank11 and loan-level data provided by the European DataWarehouse GmbH.
Morningstar DBRS did not rely upon third-party due diligence in order to conduct its analysis.
At the time of the initial credit ratings, Morningstar DBRS was supplied with third-party assessments. However, this did not impact the credit rating analysis.
Morningstar DBRS considers the data and information available to it for the purposes of providing these credit ratings to be of satisfactory quality.
Morningstar DBRS does not audit or independently verify the data or information it receives in connection with the credit rating process.
The last credit rating action on this transaction took place on 20 September 2023, when Morningstar DBRS confirmed its credit rating on the Class A Notes at AAA (sf) and upgraded its credit ratings on the Class B, Class C, and Class D Notes to A (high) (sf), A (low) (sf) and BB (high) (sf), respectively, from A (sf), BBB (sf) and BB (low) (sf), respectively.
The lead analyst responsibilities for this transaction have been transferred to Alice Comastri.
Information regarding Morningstar DBRS credit ratings, including definitions, policies, and methodologies, is available on https://dbrs.morningstar.com.
Sensitivity Analysis: To assess the impact of changing the transaction parameters on the credit ratings, Morningstar DBRS considered the following stress scenarios as compared with the parameters used to determine the credit ratings (the base case):
-- Morningstar DBRS expected a lifetime base-case PD and LGD for the pool based on a review of the current assets.
Adverse changes to asset performance may cause stresses to base-case assumptions and therefore have a negative effect on credit ratings.
-- The base case PD and LGD of the current pool of loans for the Issuer are 1.8% and 54.7%, respectively.
Class A Notes Risk Sensitivity:
-- 25% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of AAA (sf)
-- 50% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of AA (high) (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD, expected credit rating of AAA (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD, expected credit rating of AA (high) (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of AA (high) (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of AA (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of AA (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of AA (low) (sf)
Class B Notes Risk Sensitivity:
-- 25% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of A (high) (sf)
-- 50% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of A (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD, expected credit rating of A (high) (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD, expected credit rating of A (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of A (low) (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of BBB (high) (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of BBB (high) (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of BBB (sf)
Class C Notes Risk Sensitivity:
-- 25% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of A (low) (sf)
-- 50% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of BBB (high) (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD, expected credit rating of A (low) (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD, expected credit rating of BBB (high) (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of BBB (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of BBB (low) (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of BBB (low) (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of BB (high) (sf)
Class D Notes Risk Sensitivity:
-- 25% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of BB (high) (sf)
-- 50% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of BB (high) (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD, expected credit rating of BB (high) (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD, expected credit rating of BB (high) (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of BB (high) (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of BB (high) (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of BB (high) (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected credit rating of BB (sf)
For further information on Morningstar DBRS historical default rates published by the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) in a central repository, see: https://registers.esma.europa.eu/cerep-publication. For further information on Morningstar DBRS historical default rates published by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in a central repository, see https://data.fca.org.uk/#/ceres/craStats.
These credit ratings are endorsed by DBRS Ratings Limited for use in the United Kingdom.
Lead Analyst: Alice Comastri, Senior Analyst
Rating Committee Chair: Alfonso Candelas, Associate Managing Director
Initial Rating Date: 29 September 2022
DBRS Ratings GmbH
Neue Mainzer Straße 75
60311 Frankfurt am Main Deutschland
Tel. +49 (69) 8088 3500
Geschäftsführer: Detlef Scholz
Amtsgericht Frankfurt am Main, HRB 110259
The credit rating methodologies used in the analysis of this transaction can be found at: https://dbrs.morningstar.com/about/methodologies.
-- Master European Structured Finance Surveillance Methodology (6 August 2024),
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/437540
-- Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions (28 June 2024),
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/435165
-- Interest Rate Stresses for European Structured Finance Transactions (28 June 2024),
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/435278
-- Operational Risk Assessment for European Structured Finance Servicers (6 August 2024),
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/437543
-- Rating European Consumer and Commercial Asset-Backed Securitisations (22 August 2024),
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/438224
-- Rating European Structured Finance Transactions Methodology (25 June 2024),
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/434970
-- Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions (6 September 2024),
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/439043
-- Morningstar DBRS Criteria: Approach to Environmental, Social, and Governance Factors in Credit Ratings (13 August 2024), https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/437781
A description of how Morningstar DBRS analyses structured finance transactions and how the methodologies are collectively applied can be found at: https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/278375.
For more information on this credit or on this industry, visit dbrs.morningstar.com/ or contact us at info-DBRS@morningstar.com.