DBRS Confirms RBC at AA and R-1 (high), Trends Stable

DBRS has today confirmed the ratings of Royal Bank of Canada (RBC or the Bank) and its related entities, including the Bank’s Deposits & Senior Debt at AA and Short-Term Instruments at R-1 (high). All trends are Stable, except for the Bank’s Non-Cumulative First Preferred Shares, Series W, which remain Under Review with Negative Implications. The Bank’s ratings are underpinned by its highly diversified business model, strong Canadian retail franchise and well positioned capital markets business.

RBC’s diversified business model and geographic profile have provided the Bank with consistently strong profitability and return on equity throughout various business and credit cycles. RBC is the largest retail bank in Canada and currently holds first or second-ranking positions in each business it participates in domestically, with an objective to become the leader in every business. The Bank continues to build on its leading market positions within Canada and is expanding its presence globally, particularly in wealth management and capital markets, where the Bank has been increasing its market share among the top global banks.

Despite strong performance in recent years, continued long-term domestic growth within Canada is expected to be a challenge given the Bank’s significant market share positions, the mature Canadian banking industry and the competitive landscape. Domestically, RBC and its large competitors have little room to grow beyond market growth rates, which have been strong in recent years. Additionally, foreign banks that previously exited the domestic market during the crisis have re-emerged as competitors.

DBRS does not expect potential house price depreciation in Canada to result in material losses from the Bank’s real estate secured lending portfolio, notwithstanding the high indebtedness of the average Canadian consumer and significant increases in housing prices in certain sectors of the Canadian real estate market.

The rating on the Non-Cumulative First Preferred Shares, Series W remains Under Review with Negative Implications. DBRS hopes to resolve this rating in the near future after the publication of the results from DBRS’s recent Request for Comments on Rating Subordinated, Hybrids and Preferred Bank Capital Securities.

The Bank’s Deposits & Senior Debt rating of AA is composed of an intrinsic assessment of AA (low) and a support assessment of SA2 (reflecting the expectation of systemic and timely external support by the Government of Canada). The SA2 support assessment results in a one-notch benefit to the Issuer Rating and the Deposits & Senior Debt and Subordinated Debt ratings.

Notes:
All figures are in Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted.

The related regulatory disclosures pursuant to the National Instrument 25-101 Designated Rating Organizations are hereby incorporated by reference and can be found by clicking on the link to the right under Related Research or by contacting us at info@dbrs.com.

The applicable methodologies are Global Methodology for Rating Banks and Banking Organisations (June 2012), DBRS Criteria: Rating Bank Preferred Shares and Equivalent Hybrids (June 2009) and DBRS Criteria: Intrinsic and Support Assessments (February 2009), which can be found on our website.

DBRS ratings for Royal Bank Mortgage Corporation and Royal Trust Corporation of Canada & Royal Trust Company (no guarantee) are based on the ratings for Royal Bank of Canada.

The sources of information used for this rating include information provided by the Royal Bank of Canada, Investment Funds Institute of Canada, Bank for International Settlements, Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions Canada and Bloomberg. DBRS considers the information available to it for the purposes of providing this rating was of satisfactory quality.

For additional information on this rating, please see Banks and Banking Organisations Linking Document by clicking the link under Related Research at the right of the screen or by contacting us at info@dbrs.com.

This rating is endorsed by DBRS Ratings Limited for use in the European Union.

Lead Analyst: Brenda Lum
Rating Committee Chair: Kent Wideman
Initial Rating Date: November 30, 1980
Most Recent Rating Update: September 18, 2012