DBRS Morningstar Maintains Under Review with Negative Implications Status on Four Classes from Four CPS Auto Receivables Trust Transactions and on CPS Auto Securitization Trust 2018-1

DBRS, Inc. (DBRS Morningstar) maintained the Under Review with Negative Implications status on its ratings on the following classes of securities included in four CPS Auto Receivables Trust transactions and on CPS Auto Securitization Trust 2018-1:

-- CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2016-A, Series 2016-A, Class F, rated BB (low) (sf)
-- CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2016-D, Series 2016-D, Class E, rated BB (sf)
-- CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2017-A, Series 2017-A, Class E rated BB (sf)
-- CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2018-C, Class E Notes, rated BB (sf)
-- CPS Auto Securitization Trust 2018-1, Class A Notes, rated BB (low) (sf)

The rating actions are based on the following analytical considerations:
-- The transaction assumptions consider DBRS Morningstar’s set of macroeconomic scenarios for select economies related to the Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19), available in its commentary “Global Macroeconomic Scenarios: September Update,” published on September 10, 2020. DBRS Morningstar initially published macroeconomic scenarios on April 16, 2020, which have been regularly updated. The scenarios were last updated on September 10, 2020, and are reflected in DBRS Morningstar’s rating analysis.

-- The assumptions consider the moderate macroeconomic scenario outlined in the commentary, with the moderate scenario serving as the primary anchor for current ratings. The moderate scenario remains predicated on a more rapid return of confidence and a steady recovery heading into 2021. Observed performance during the 2008–09 financial crisis and the possible impact from stimulus were also incorporated into the analysis.

-- The collateral performance to date and DBRS Morningstar's assessment of future performance, including upward revisions to the expected CNL assumptions consistent with the expected unemployment levels in the moderate scenario.

-- The transactions’ current form and sufficiency of available credit enhancement benefitting the notes. The level of credit enhancement in the form of overcollateralization, amounts held in reserve, and subordination has grown for senior classes as the transactions have amortized due to the sequential pay nature of the transactions. However, the credit enhancement has not grown at the same rate for the most subordinated class of notes in these transactions. The available credit enhancement including excess spread may be insufficient to support the DBRS Morningstar projected remaining cumulative net loss (CNL) (including an adjustment for the moderate scenario) assumption at a multiple of coverage commensurate with the current rating on the Class F notes from Series 2016-A and the Class E notes from Series 2016-D, 2017-A, and 2018-C. DBRS Morningstar maintained the Under Review with Negative Implications status on its rating.

-- Performance on these transactions has improved over the last several months as a result of improved consumer behavior due to the stimulus from the CARES Act, however uncertainty of future performance remains. DBRS Morningstar will continue to evaluate performance of the transactions and the potential effects of further stimulus packages and any updates to the moderate scenario.

-- The CPS Auto Securitization Trust 2018-1 transaction is secured by the assets of the issuer, including subordinated residual interests from several CPS Auto Receivables Trusts. The performance of this transaction is dependent on the performance of the underlying trusts’ ability to generate excess spread. The underlying trusts include Series 2016-A, 2016-D, and 2017-A. Given the Under Review with Negative Implications status on the ratings of the subordinated class from these series, DBRS Morningstar maintained the Under Review with Negative Implications status on its rating.

-- The transaction parties’ capabilities with regard to origination, underwriting, and servicing.

When placing a rating Under Review with Negative Implications, DBRS Morningstar seeks to complete its assessment and remove the rating from this status as soon as appropriate. Upon the resolution of the Under Review status, DBRS Morningstar may confirm or downgrade the ratings on the affected classes.

ESG CONSIDERATIONS
A description of how DBRS Morningstar considers ESG factors within the DBRS Morningstar analytical framework and its methodologies can be found at: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/357792.

Notes:
The principal methodology is DBRS Morningstar Master U.S. ABS Surveillance (May 27, 2020), which can be found on dbrsmorningstar.com under Methodologies & Criteria.

For more information regarding rating methodologies and Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19), please see the following DBRS Morningstar press release: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/357883.

For more information regarding structured finance rating methodologies and Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19), please see the following DBRS Morningstar press release: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/358308.

For more information regarding the structured finance rating approach and Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19), please see the following DBRS Morningstar press release: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/359905.

The rated entity or its related entities did not participate in the rating process for this rating action. DBRS Morningstar had access to the accounts and other relevant internal documents of the rated entity or its related entities in connection with this rating action.

Please see the related appendix for additional information regarding the sensitivity of assumptions used in the rating process.

For more information on this credit or on this industry, visit www.dbrsmorningstar.com or contact us at [email protected].

DBRS, Inc.
140 Broadway, 43rd Floor
New York, NY 10005 USA
Tel. +1 212 806-3277