DBRS Confirms Ratings to Hipocat 18, FTA
RMBSDBRS Ratings Limited (“DBRS”) has reviewed Hipocat 18, FTA (the “Issuer”) and confirmed the ratings of the Series A Notes to AA (sf). Hipocat 18, FTA is a securitisation of first-lien flexible mortgage loans granted to purchase residential properties in Spain. The underlying portfolio was originated and is serviced by Catalunya Banc S.A. The transaction follows the standard structure under Spanish Securitisation Law and closed in March 2009.
Confirmation of the ratings for the Series A Notes is based upon the following analytical considerations:
- Portfolio performance, in terms of defaults and level of delinquencies, as of the October 2013 Payment Date.
- Updated Portfolio Default Rate, Loss Given Default and Expected Loss for the remaining collateral pool.
- Current Available Credit Enhancement to the rated notes to cover the expected losses at the AA (sf) rating level.
As of the October 2013 payment date, the current Delinquency Ratio for loans greater than 90 days deliquent (excluding defaulted loans) as a percentage of the performing balance of the portfolio was 1.65%, an increase of 1.56% since the initial DBRS rating on 21 September 2010. Similarly, the Cumulative Default Ratio has been increasing since the initial rating, the most recent ratio was 0.54%, which is within DBRS expectations. Credit enhancement for the Series A Notes is provided by the subordination of the Series B Notes, the Series C Notes and an amortising Cash Reserve (currently equal to 9.92% of the aggregate outstanding balance of the issued notes) funded at transaction close. The Current Credit Enhancement for the Series A Notes is 20.57%. The balance of the Cash Reserve is €57,200,000 and corresponds to the initial level.
Banco Santander S.A. is the Treasury Account Bank and Paying Agent for this transaction. The DBRS public rating of Banco Santander S.A. is at least equal to the Minimum Institution Rating given the rating assigned to the Series A Notes, as described in the DBRS Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions.
Notes:
All figures are in Euro unless otherwise noted.
The principal methodology applicable is the Master European Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Rating Methodology and Jurisdictional Addenda. Other methodologies and criteria referenced in this transaction are listed at the end of this press release.
This can be found on www.dbrs.com at:
http://www.dbrs.com/about/methodologies
For a more detailed discussion of sovereign risk impact on Structured Finance ratings, please refer to DBRS commentary “The Effect of Sovereign Risk on Securitisations in the Euro Area” on: http://www.dbrs.com/industries/bucket/id/10036/name/commentaries/.
The sources of information used for this rating include investor reports provided by Gestión de Activos Titulizados S.G.F.T., S.A. and data from the European DataWarehouse. DBRS considers the information available to it for the purposes of providing this rating was of satisfactory quality.
DBRS does not audit the information it receives in connection with the rating process, and it does not and cannot independently verify that information in every instance.
The last rating action on this transaction took place on 2 January 2013, when DBRS confirmed the rating of Series A Notes at AA (sf).
Information regarding DBRS ratings, including definitions, policies and methodologies are available on www.dbrs.com.
To assess the impact of the changing the transaction parameters on the rating, DBRS considered the following stress scenarios, as compared to the parameters used to determine the rating (the “Base Case”):
• DBRS expected a lifetime base case Probability of Default (PD) and Loss Given Default (LGD) for the pool based on a review of the current assets. Adverse changes to asset performance may cause stresses to base case assumptions and therefore have a negative effect on credit ratings.
• The base case PD and LGD of the current pool of mortgages for the Issuer are 4.41% and 34.26%, respectively. At the AA (sf) rating level, the corresponding PD is 20.81% and the LGD is 62.00%.
• The Risk Sensitivity overview below illustrates the ratings expected if the PD and LGD increase by a certain percentage over the base case assumption. For example, if the LGD increases by 50%, the rating of Series A Notes would be expected to decrease to BBB (low) (sf), assuming no change in the PD. If the PD increases by 50%, the rating for the Series A Notes would be expected to decrease to BBB (sf), assuming no change in the LGD. Furthermore, if both PD and LGD increase by 50%, the rating would be expected to decrease to BB (sf).
Series A Notes Risk Sensitivity:
• 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of BBB (sf)
• 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of BBB (low) (sf)
• 25% increase in PD, expected rating of BBB (high) (sf)
• 50% increase in PD, expected rating of BBB (sf)
• 25% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of BBB (low) (sf)
• 25% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of BB (high) (sf)
• 50% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of BB (high) (sf)
• 50% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of BB (sf)
For further information on DBRS historic default rates published by the European Securities and Markets Administration (“ESMA”) in a central repository, see:
http://cerep.esma.europa.eu/cerep-web/statistics/defaults.xhtml.
Ratings assigned by DBRS Ratings Limited are subject to EU regulations only.
Initial Lead Analyst: Alessio Pignataro
Initial Rating Date: 21 September 2010
Initial Rating Committee Chair: Claire Mezzanotte
Last Rating Date: 2 January 2013
Lead Surveillance Analyst: Elisa Scalco
Rating Committee Chair: Mary Jane Potthoff
DBRS Ratings Limited
1 Minster Court, 10th Floor
Mincing Lane
London
EC3R 7AA
United Kingdom
Registered in England and Wales: No. 7139960
The rating methodologies and criteria used in the analysis of this transaction can be found at: http://www.dbrs.com/about/methodologies
Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions
Master European Structured Finance Surveillance Methodology
Operational Risk Assessment for European Structured Finance Servicers
Master European Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Rating Methodology and Jurisdictional Addenda
Unified Interest Rate Model for European Securitisations
Ratings
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